# French soft wheat yield seen 11% below 10-year average - Markets - Business Recorder

> Arvalis and Intercereales forecast French soft wheat yield at 6.4 t/ha, 13% below last year and 11% below the 10-year average, due to a wet season. Protein content is expected to be stable at 11.6%.

- Date: 2024-07-05 · published 2024-07-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region France · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/29189-french-soft-wheat-yield-seen-11-below-10-year-average-markets-business-recorder
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A yield well below trend implies a much smaller French crop than in recent years, supporting European wheat values.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-08 | 1 | +9.4% | 3.2 | French soft wheat yield forecast 11% below the 10-year average on a wet season tightens EU export supply, which is supportive for wheat prices. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-05 | [French soft wheat crop rating stable at nine-year low - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52549-french-soft-wheat-crop-rating-stable-at-nine-year-low-markets-business-recorder.md) | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-13 | [French soft wheat harvest slow and crop rating slips - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29188-french-soft-wheat-harvest-slow-and-crop-rating-slips-markets-business-recorder.md) | -3.2% | -2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-28 | [French soft wheat harvest not completed - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45506-french-soft-wheat-harvest-not-completed-markets-business-recorder.md) | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-20 | [French soft wheat harvest nears end after hot spell - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45507-french-soft-wheat-harvest-nears-end-after-hot-spell-markets-business-recorder.md) | +1.0% | +5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-04 | [Late-running French soft wheat harvest almost complete - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45010-late-running-french-soft-wheat-harvest-almost-complete-markets-business-recorder.md) | +0.4% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- brecorder.com: https://www.brecorder.com/news/40311416

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.