# La Niña prospects in the upcoming 2024/25 season are a welcome development

> Agriculture Portal says La Niña prospects for South Africa's 2024/25 summer crop season are encouraging, with the IRI placing the probability above 50% between now and April 2025. The article notes that South Africa had a difficult 2023/24 season under El Niño. It adds that the South African Weather Service has not yet declared a La Niña event.

- Date: 2024-07-08 · published 2024-07-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region South Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/29172-la-nina-prospects-in-the-upcoming-2024-25-season-are-a-welcome-development
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected above-average rainfall would support a better South African maize crop after last season's El Niño losses, which could reduce import demand from the region. The effect on global feed prices is modest.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.4% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2025-08-22 | [What are the prospects for grain production in Argentina?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13838-what-are-the-prospects-for-grain-production-in-argentina.md) | -0.6% | +7.6% |
| CORN | 2025-12-05 | [Dry Conditions Slow Crop Planting and Development in Rio Grande do Sul's 2025/26 Season \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13458-dry-conditions-slow-crop-planting-and-development-in-rio-grande-do-sul-s-2025.md) | -0.4% | -0.0% |
| CORN | 2024-12-12 | [Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer.md) | -0.0% | +5.6% |
| CORN | 2024-01-30 | [La Niña Returns: Will It Impact 2024 US Growing Season? – Empire Weather Consulting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32038-la-nina-returns-will-it-impact-2024-us-growing-season-empire-weather-consulting.md) | -2.5% | -6.5% |
| SOY | 2024-02-08 | [El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31586-el-nino-waning-la-nina-to-develop-in-second-half-of-2024.md) | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2025-08-22 | [What are the prospects for grain production in Argentina?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13838-what-are-the-prospects-for-grain-production-in-argentina.md) | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| SOY | 2025-12-05 | [Dry Conditions Slow Crop Planting and Development in Rio Grande do Sul's 2025/26 Season \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13458-dry-conditions-slow-crop-planting-and-development-in-rio-grande-do-sul-s-2025.md) | -2.3% | -6.5% |

## Sources

- agricultureportal.co.za: https://agricultureportal.co.za/index.php/all-agri-news/news-of-the-day/10797-la-nina-prospects-in-the-upcoming-2024-25-season-are-a-welcome-development

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.