# Despite lower production and inventory forecasts in the USDA report, wheat exchange prices fell

> USDA's August report raised world wheat consumption more than production, cutting ending stocks, while raising global production to 798.28 mln t. Higher output was seen in Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Australia, offset by cuts in the EU and US, yet wheat futures still fell 0.4-1.2%.

- Date: 2024-08-13 · published 2024-08-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/28812-despite-lower-production-and-inventory-forecasts-in-the-usda-report-wheat
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Global stocks tightening modestly was not enough to lift prices, so the market remains heavy and buyers can expect continued cheap wheat unless EU or Black Sea supply disappoints.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-12 | [Wheat prices fall despite a downgrade in the USDA’s global production forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5522-wheat-prices-fall-despite-a-downgrade-in-the-usda-s-global-production-forecast.md) | +10.5% | +5.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-18 | [The higher forecast production in the new season lowers the price of wheat old crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48191-the-higher-forecast-production-in-the-new-season-lowers-the-price-of-wheat-old.md) | +0.9% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-14 | [USDA forecasts lower wheat, corn, sorghum prices for 2025/26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24718-usda-forecasts-lower-wheat-corn-sorghum-prices-for-2025-26.md) | -3.8% | -2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-19 | [Increasing forecasts of wheat harvest and exports from Canada lowers quotations in the US](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32746-increasing-forecasts-of-wheat-harvest-and-exports-from-canada-lowers-quotations.md) | +0.4% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-16 | [Rebound in grain production lifts wheat forecast to 26.7Mt: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52584-rebound-in-grain-production-lifts-wheat-forecast-to-26-7mt-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.5% | -4.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-03-18 | [The higher forecast production in the new season lowers the price of wheat old crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48191-the-higher-forecast-production-in-the-new-season-lowers-the-price-of-wheat-old.md) | -4.1% | +1.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-05-14 | [USDA forecasts lower wheat, corn, sorghum prices for 2025/26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24718-usda-forecasts-lower-wheat-corn-sorghum-prices-for-2025-26.md) | +6.8% | +4.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-12-19 | [Increasing forecasts of wheat harvest and exports from Canada lowers quotations in the US](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32746-increasing-forecasts-of-wheat-harvest-and-exports-from-canada-lowers-quotations.md) | +2.4% | -3.6% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/despite-lower-production-and-inventory-forecasts-in-the-usda-report-wheat-exchange-prices-fell/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.