# Black Sea, EU Wheat Facing Weather Challenges | Farm Policy News | Illinois

> Dry soils in Russia and Ukraine are hampering planting of the next winter wheat crop, with European Russia showing significant dryness. Russia's latest crop fell about 10% on weather, and Ukraine's output is about a third below pre-war levels.

- Date: 2024-09-18 · published 2024-09-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/28265-black-sea-eu-wheat-facing-weather-challenges-farm-policy-news-illinois
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Planting delays in the Black Sea, which supplies a large share of world wheat exports, raise next-season supply risk and support wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-24 | 5 | +11.7% | 2.8 | Dry soils in Russia and Ukraine hampering winter wheat planting raised concern about next year's Black Sea supply. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-29 | [Crop Price Index Hits Highest Since November 2023 \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19748-crop-price-index-hits-highest-since-november-2023-farm-policy-news-illinois.md) | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-04-27 | [Farming News - Weather impacting on the Wheat Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11223-farming-news-weather-impacting-on-the-wheat-markets.md) | +3.6% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-04 | [Farming News - Wheat trade focus is now on new crop and its weather issues](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65063-farming-news-wheat-trade-focus-is-now-on-new-crop-and-its-weather-issues.md) | -4.0% | -1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-02-04 | [Black Sea market hits 3-month high amid bad weather, logistics challenges \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14136-black-sea-market-hits-3-month-high-amid-bad-weather-logistics-challenges-s-and.md) | -0.1% | +4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2017-05-24 | [Chilly Weather Risks Delaying Black Sea Wheat, Barley Harvest \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71080-chilly-weather-risks-delaying-black-sea-wheat-barley-harvest-esm-magazine.md) | -0.1% | -0.3% |

## Sources

- farmpolicynews.illinois.edu: https://farmpolicynews.illinois.edu/2024/09/black-sea-eu-wheat-facing-weather-challenges/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.