# Weather takes toll on EU grain crops | World Grain

> COCERAL cut its EU-27+UK 2024 grain forecast to 280.3 million tonnes, a 5% cut from June, citing spring rain and low sunshine in western Europe. Soft wheat is pegged at 126 million tonnes, and France had its worst wheat crop in about 40 years.

- Date: 2024-09-20 · published 2024-09-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region EU · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/28261-weather-takes-toll-on-eu-grain-crops-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower EU output for wheat, barley and corn reduces exportable supply and supports feed grain prices as the EU imports more or buyers shift to other origins.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-24 | 5 | +11.7% | 2.8 | Coceral's EU grain forecast cut and France's worst wheat crop in about 40 years tightened exportable supply. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-11-16 | [Rains taking toll on EU soft wheat area \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33133-rains-taking-toll-on-eu-soft-wheat-area-world-grain.md) | +3.7% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-14 | [Keeping an eye on wheat weather \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39520-keeping-an-eye-on-wheat-weather-world-grain.md) | +5.6% | -8.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-14 | [Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts again on weather toll](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34979-strategie-grains-cuts-eu-cereal-crop-forecasts-again-on-weather-toll.md) | +3.5% | +3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-07 | [France’s soft wheat crop drops due to weather woes \| 2020-07-07  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52050-france-s-soft-wheat-crop-drops-due-to-weather-woes-2020-07-07-world-grain.md) | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-16 | [Drought takes toll on Australian grain \| 2019-05-16  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59057-drought-takes-toll-on-australian-grain-2019-05-16-world-grain.md) | +10.5% | +9.9% |
| CORN | 2023-08-30 | [Extreme heat, drought take toll on US crops \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13254-extreme-heat-drought-take-toll-on-us-crops-world-grain.md) | -0.0% | -8.2% |
| CORN | 2023-07-14 | [Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts again on weather toll](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34979-strategie-grains-cuts-eu-cereal-crop-forecasts-again-on-weather-toll.md) | -6.9% | -11.1% |
| CORN | 2020-07-31 | [Hot, dry weather takes a toll](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51954-hot-dry-weather-takes-a-toll.md) | -0.7% | +7.0% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/20477-weather-takes-toll-on-eu-grain-crops

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.