# EU short term outlook: Tight stocks support firm prices | AHDB

> The European Commission expects EU milk deliveries to rise 0.5% in 2024 and 0.2% in 2025, with raw milk prices 17% above the five-year average as of August. Exports are expected to stay subdued due to weak global demand and competitiveness challenges.

- Date: 2024-10-17 · published 2024-10-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27865-eu-short-term-outlook-tight-stocks-support-firm-prices-ahdb
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Stable EU milk supply and subdued exports keep European dairy prices firm, limiting export competition for dairy products.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2022-07-22 | [World milk supplies 'to stay tight', as output falls for first time in 18 years - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40491-world-milk-supplies-to-stay-tight-as-output-falls-for-first-time-in-18-years.md) | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| MILK | 2026-04-21 | [Dairy outlook 2026: Higher milk production and stronger prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19713-dairy-outlook-2026-higher-milk-production-and-stronger-prices.md) | -0.0% | +0.6% |
| MILK | 2026-02-18 | [USDA February 2026 Dairy Outlook: Prices, Production & Trade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20614-usda-february-2026-dairy-outlook-prices-production-and-trade.md) | -0.3% | +7.4% |
| MILK | 2019-07-23 | [Dairy price outlook brightens \| Capital Press](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58257-dairy-price-outlook-brightens-capital-press.md) | +0.3% | +1.2% |
| MILK | 2022-08-23 | [EU dairy prices at record levels; farmers' margins remain tight
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40042-eu-dairy-prices-at-record-levels-farmers-margins-remain-tight-the-cattle-site.md) | +0.2% | -1.0% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/eu-short-term-outlook-tight-stocks-support-firm-prices

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.