# Northern crop pushes national production above last year | Farm Online | ACT

> RaboResearch forecasts a 47.1 million tonne Australian winter crop, with wheat at 27.5 million tonnes, down from 31 million last year. Canola and barley output are expected to fall year on year because of low rainfall and late frost, while a large northern chickpea crop lifts pulses.

- Date: 2024-10-23 · published 2024-10-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27830-northern-crop-pushes-national-production-above-last-year-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Australian barley and canola output reduces supply of feed ingredients and oilseed meals, which supports their prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-22 | [ABS says variation in crop estimates is normal \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66945-abs-says-variation-in-crop-estimates-is-normal-farm-online-act.md) | +3.2% | +6.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-02 | [National winter crop production forecast to fall, still the fourth-largest on record. - ABC listen](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17452-national-winter-crop-production-forecast-to-fall-still-the-fourth-largest-on.md) | +0.7% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-13 | [USDA springs further surprise in crop report \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11740-usda-springs-further-surprise-in-crop-report-farm-online-act.md) | -1.7% | -3.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-04 | [Farm production expected to fall due to drought \| The National Tribune](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60045-farm-production-expected-to-fall-due-to-drought-the-national-tribune.md) | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-02 | [Cropping to lead the way in ag comeback \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54102-cropping-to-lead-the-way-in-ag-comeback-farm-online-act.md) | -0.1% | -4.3% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/8799470/northern-crop-pushes-national-production-above-last-year/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.