# Mixed end to season informs Rabo crop estimates - Grain Central

> Rabobank's national estimates for the Australian harvest put wheat at 27.55 million tonnes, barley at 10.37 million tonnes and canola at 4.67 million tonnes. The forecasts reflect dry conditions in South Australia and Victoria, frost damage, and a surprise rise in Western Australian production.

- Date: 2024-10-22 · published 2024-10-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27829-mixed-end-to-season-informs-rabo-crop-estimates-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower wheat and barley forecasts for the south reduce Australian export supply, which supports prices for feed grains traded internationally.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-25 | [Crop estimates reflect tough SE Australian season - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27827-crop-estimates-reflect-tough-se-australian-season-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-17 | [South Australia estimates winter crop at 6.25Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55029-south-australia-estimates-winter-crop-at-6-25mt-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-28 | [Forecasts point to dry season ahead for WA croppers - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71432-forecasts-point-to-dry-season-ahead-for-wa-croppers-grain-central.md) | +2.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-29 | [More rain required to lock in winter-crop potential - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51041-more-rain-required-to-lock-in-winter-crop-potential-grain-central.md) | +2.2% | +4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-21 | [Tough times take toll on Australian winter crop: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56532-tough-times-take-toll-on-australian-winter-crop-rabobank-grain-central.md) | -2.2% | -0.1% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/mixed-end-to-season-informs-rabo-crop-estimates/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.