# Crop estimates reflect tough SE Australian season - Grain Central

> Heavy October rain, hail and wind in south-eastern Australia have affected cereal, canola and pulse yields, while frost has cut some growers' returns in southern NSW. The USDA cut its 2024-25 Australian wheat forecast to 28.5 million tonnes, down 3.5 million tonnes, and lowered its barley estimate to 11 million tonnes.

- Date: 2024-10-25 · published 2024-10-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27827-crop-estimates-reflect-tough-se-australian-season-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller USDA wheat and barley estimate for Australia reduces exportable supply and supports global feed grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-22 | [Mixed end to season informs Rabo crop estimates - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27829-mixed-end-to-season-informs-rabo-crop-estimates-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-17 | [South Australia estimates winter crop at 6.25Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55029-south-australia-estimates-winter-crop-at-6-25mt-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-21 | [Tough times take toll on Australian winter crop: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56532-tough-times-take-toll-on-australian-winter-crop-rabobank-grain-central.md) | -2.2% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-13 | [Dry prompts ABARES to tip reduced Australian crop size - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68399-dry-prompts-abares-to-tip-reduced-australian-crop-size-grain-central.md) | +0.3% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-05-30 | [Australian winter planting season update 'around the grounds' - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70956-australian-winter-planting-season-update-around-the-grounds-grain-central.md) | -0.5% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/tough-se-australian-season-reflected-in-figures-as-harvest-nears/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.