# Dry conditions in US Plains expected to worsen if La Niña develops | World Grain

> NOAA expects La Niña to develop with 75% odds in November-January, which would worsen drought across the US Great Plains this winter. Severe drought already covers parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Nebraska and other states as of mid-October.

- Date: 2024-10-23 · published 2024-10-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27781-dry-conditions-in-us-plains-expected-to-worsen-if-la-nina-develops-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Drought in the US Plains threatens hard red winter wheat yields, supporting Kansas City wheat prices and reducing export availability.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2018-02-08 | [Dry conditions in the Plains could boost wheat prices \| Capital Press](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66544-dry-conditions-in-the-plains-could-boost-wheat-prices-capital-press.md) | -2.3% | +8.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-01-14 | [La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43037-la-nina-conditions-likely-to-continue-into-spring-agweb.md) | +4.4% | +8.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-12-15 | [La Niña expected to continue through winter - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67402-la-nina-expected-to-continue-through-winter-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +5.4% | +4.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-05-12 | [Wheat Extends Gains as Poor Weather Worsens US Crop Conditions - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10790-wheat-extends-gains-as-poor-weather-worsens-us-crop-conditions-bloomberg.md) | -2.3% | -13.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-04-04 | [Persistent La Niña only needs to last until June to promote drought \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41772-persistent-la-nina-only-needs-to-last-until-june-to-promote-drought-world-grain.md) | +9.3% | +7.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-21 | [Dry weather conditions in early summer worsen crop prospects in the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35430-dry-weather-conditions-in-early-summer-worsen-crop-prospects-in-the-eu.md) | +9.4% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2018-02-08 | [Dry conditions in the Plains could boost wheat prices \| Capital Press](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66544-dry-conditions-in-the-plains-could-boost-wheat-prices-capital-press.md) | -0.5% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-12 | [Wheat Extends Gains as Poor Weather Worsens US Crop Conditions - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10790-wheat-extends-gains-as-poor-weather-worsens-us-crop-conditions-bloomberg.md) | -0.0% | -3.8% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/20618-dry-conditions-in-us-plains-expected-to-worsen-if-la-nina-develops

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.