# US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November

> A US government forecaster gives a 60% chance of La Niña conditions emerging in September-November, persisting through January-March 2025. The outlook was published by a US forecaster on October 10.

- Date: 2024-10-10 · published 2024-10-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

La Niña typically brings drier conditions to South America and the US southern Plains, raising risk to soybean and corn output and supporting prices for those crops.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-09-12 | [La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28233-la-nina-weather-71-likely-to-develop-in-sept-nov-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | +4.9% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2020-08-27 | [WMO Update: 60 percent chance of La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51517-wmo-update-60-percent-chance-of-la-nina.md) | +1.6% | +7.0% |
| CORN | 2026-05-14 | [US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19187-us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-of-developing-by-july-reuters.md) | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| CORN | 2025-01-09 | [La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26406-la-nina-emerges-in-pacific-triggering-global-weather-changes-bloomberg.md) | +4.1% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2025-03-13 | [U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25497-u-s-forecaster-sees-neutral-weather-conditions-persisting-through-summer.md) | +6.5% | +5.2% |
| SOY | 2024-09-12 | [La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28233-la-nina-weather-71-likely-to-develop-in-sept-nov-says-us-forecaster-reuters.md) | +3.5% | +4.1% |
| SOY | 2020-08-27 | [WMO Update: 60 percent chance of La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51517-wmo-update-60-percent-chance-of-la-nina.md) | +4.7% | +8.8% |
| SOY | 2026-05-14 | [US forecaster says El Nino has 82% chance of developing by July \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19187-us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-of-developing-by-july-reuters.md) | -1.3% | -8.2% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-la-nia-weather-september-november-2024-10-10/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.