# BRL: Real hits four year low on fiscal concerns – ING — Elev8

> The Brazilian real weakened to its lowest level since the early 2020 pandemic sell-off, according to ING's FX analyst. ING forecasts USD/BRL at 6.25 in 12 months, citing fiscal slippage and global trade war risk.

- Date: 2024-11-28 · published 2024-11-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27616-brl-real-hits-four-year-low-on-fiscal-concerns-ing-elev8
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A sustained weak real makes Brazilian soybean and corn exports more competitive, which tends to weigh on international feed grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- USDBRL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2021-10-19 | [Brazil's real slumps on fiscal concerns, Petrobras slides](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44780-brazil-s-real-slumps-on-fiscal-concerns-petrobras-slides.md) | +1.4% | -0.4% |
| USDBRL | 2024-12-16 | [Brazil currency hits record low amid ongoing fiscal woes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27145-brazil-currency-hits-record-low-amid-ongoing-fiscal-woes.md) | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| USDBRL | 2021-02-09 | [Brazil's real leads Latam FX losses on fiscal concerns - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48852-brazil-s-real-leads-latam-fx-losses-on-fiscal-concerns-markets-business-recorder.md) | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| USDBRL | 2024-08-30 | [Brazil Real Swings on Fiscal Woes, Central Bank Interventions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29017-brazil-real-swings-on-fiscal-woes-central-bank-interventions.md) | -0.8% | -3.6% |
| USDBRL | 2016-11-14 | [Brazil real weakens for fourth day as Trump concern boosts U.S. yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9711-brazil-real-weakens-for-fourth-day-as-trump-concern-boosts-u-s-yields.md) | +0.7% | -0.4% |
| SBM | 2024-12-16 | [Brazil currency hits record low amid ongoing fiscal woes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27145-brazil-currency-hits-record-low-amid-ongoing-fiscal-woes.md) | +2.8% | +4.4% |
| SBM | 2024-08-05 | [Brazilian real depreciation stirs economic concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11941-brazilian-real-depreciation-stirs-economic-concerns.md) | -7.8% | -11.4% |
| SBM | 2024-12-18 | [Brazil's real hits record low as markets eye govt spending \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27143-brazil-s-real-hits-record-low-as-markets-eye-govt-spending-reuters.md) | +1.6% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- cn.elev8.com: https://cn.elev8.com/markets/news/view/1128652/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.