# Lower rice prices coming in 2025 – think tank

> BMI, a Fitch subsidiary, lowered its 2025 average forecast for CBOT rough rice futures to $14.20/cwt from $14.85 and kept its 2024 forecast at $16.35. It expects a global rice surplus in 2025 and record production of 534 million tonnes, citing India's resumed exports.

- Date: 2024-11-19 · published 2024-11-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27482-lower-rice-prices-coming-in-2025-think-tank
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Expected record supplies and renewed Indian exports point to softer global rice prices in 2025, which lowers the cost outlook for rice-based feed ingredients.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2026-02-04 | [CoBank: Rice prices fall more than other commodities \| TheFencePost.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20672-cobank-rice-prices-fall-more-than-other-commodities-thefencepost-com.md) | +1.3% | -5.9% |
| RICE | 2019-10-03 | [Asia rice-waning demand prompts Indian, Thai exporters to lower prices - The Business Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56650-asia-rice-waning-demand-prompts-indian-thai-exporters-to-lower-prices-the.md) | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| RICE | 2024-12-11 | [COMMODITIES 2025: Rice prices likely to be pressured by large harvest, end to India export ban](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26927-commodities-2025-rice-prices-likely-to-be-pressured-by-large-harvest-end-to.md) | -0.7% | -5.4% |
| RICE | 2021-11-09 | [Non-basmati rice exports may shrink in 2022 - The Economic Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44028-non-basmati-rice-exports-may-shrink-in-2022-the-economic-times.md) | +6.1% | +4.3% |
| RICE | 2025-12-12 | [COMMODITIES 2026: India's surplus rice supply to weigh on global prices, reshape trade in Q1 \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21591-commodities-2026-india-s-surplus-rice-supply-to-weigh-on-global-prices-reshape.md) | -2.5% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- ssricenews.com: https://ssricenews.com/rice-news/extended-news/lower-rice-prices-coming-in-2025-think-tank.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.