# COMMODITIES 2025: Brazil’s feedstocks market juggles record crop, rising biodiesel blend

> S&P Global reports Brazil's soybean harvest for 2024-25 is forecast at a record 175 million mt, up 14.4% from the prior crop. Brazilian biodiesel producers expect higher soybean oil prices in the second half of 2025 due to a rising biofuel blend and possible US-China trade tensions.

- Date: 2024-12-31 · published 2024-12-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/27049-commodities-2025-brazil-s-feedstocks-market-juggles-record-crop-rising
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A larger crush capacity boosts soybean meal and oil supply, while rising biodiesel blending tightens soyoil, supporting oil prices and possibly pulling in tallow imports.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2025-04-11 | [Brazil's rising biodiesel demand restricts soybean oil exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25204-brazil-s-rising-biodiesel-demand-restricts-soybean-oil-exports.md) | +2.3% | +4.3% |
| SBO | 2020-07-31 | [Soybeans firm as US biodiesel data lifts soyoil; corn flat - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51967-soybeans-firm-as-us-biodiesel-data-lifts-soyoil-corn-flat-markets-business.md) | +5.1% | +11.1% |
| SBO | 2023-07-21 | [Brazil's 2023 soybean crushing set for record highs driven by oil, meal demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35113-brazil-s-2023-soybean-crushing-set-for-record-highs-driven-by-oil-meal-demand.md) | +5.4% | -0.5% |
| SBO | 2026-06-03 | [Biofuel Feedstock Demand Up 12% in March as Soybean Oil, Corn Oil Reach Record Highs: EIA - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18890-biofuel-feedstock-demand-up-12-in-march-as-soybean-oil-corn-oil-reach-record.md) | -3.1% | -7.6% |
| SBO | 2023-12-28 | [Latin American soy crush to rise in 2024 on crop recovery, higher biodiesel mandate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32785-latin-american-soy-crush-to-rise-in-2024-on-crop-recovery-higher-biodiesel.md) | -0.8% | -2.9% |
| SOY | 2023-07-21 | [Brazil's 2023 soybean crushing set for record highs driven by oil, meal demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35113-brazil-s-2023-soybean-crushing-set-for-record-highs-driven-by-oil-meal-demand.md) | +2.5% | -10.6% |
| SOY | 2021-02-20 | [GLOBAL COMMODITY MARKET – This could be a very fruitful and record-breaking year! – Lider Media](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48735-global-commodity-market-this-could-be-a-very-fruitful-and-record-breaking-year.md) | +2.0% | +2.8% |
| SOY | 2017-08-10 | [Brazil to forecast new record crop  \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69284-brazil-to-forecast-new-record-crop-news-agency.md) | -4.3% | +0.0% |

## Sources

- spglobal.com: https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/agriculture/123124-commodities-2025-brazils-feedstocks-market-juggles-record-crop-rising-biodiesel-blend

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.