# EU dairy forecast 2025 - Food & Agribusiness

> A USDA GAIN report forecasts EU milk deliveries in 2025 at 149.4 million tonnes, 0.2% below 2024, as cow numbers fall on tight margins, environmental rules and disease. Cheese output is expected to rise at the expense of butter, nonfat dry milk and whole milk powder.

- Date: 2024-12-10 · published 2024-12-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26968-eu-dairy-forecast-2025-food-and-agribusiness
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Lower EU milk supply could tighten global dairy export availability and support prices, though the shift toward cheese adds to cheese supply competition.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2017-05-12 | [Dairy Economic Update: Less milk forecast -  \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71017-dairy-economic-update-less-milk-forecast-ag-proud.md) | 0.0% | +4.3% |
| MILK | 2024-04-01 | [USDA lowers dairy forecast for 2024
						 \| The Dairy Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30738-usda-lowers-dairy-forecast-for-2024-the-dairy-site.md) | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| MILK | 2022-02-25 | [USDA forecasts positive outlook for US dairy in 2022 \| Dairy Processing](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42724-usda-forecasts-positive-outlook-for-us-dairy-in-2022-dairy-processing.md) | +7.1% | +7.0% |
| MILK | 2025-05-16 | [USDA Hikes 2025 Dairy Price Forecasts, Expects Lower Prices In 2026 - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24833-usda-hikes-2025-dairy-price-forecasts-expects-lower-prices-in-2026-cheese.md) | -0.1% | +0.8% |
| MILK | 2025-01-10 | [USDA Lowers 2025 Milk Production Forecast, Hikes Dairy Product, Milk Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26515-usda-lowers-2025-milk-production-forecast-hikes-dairy-product-milk-price.md) | -0.6% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- foodagribusiness.world: https://www.foodagribusiness.world/dairy/eu-dairy-forecast-2025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.