# COMMODITIES 2025: Australia to see jump in wheat output but quality concerns remain | S&P Global

> S&P Global expects Australia's 2024-25 wheat output to rise about 4 million mt to over 30 million mt, with ABARES at 31.9 million mt. Late-November rain delayed harvest and may downgrade 3-4 million mt of wheat, mainly in Victoria and southern NSW.

- Date: 2024-12-18 · published 2024-12-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26922-commodities-2025-australia-to-see-jump-in-wheat-output-but-quality-concerns
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp output recovery adds Australian feed wheat supply, which weighs on Asian feed wheat prices. Quality downgrades could limit that pressure by pushing buyers toward higher-grade supply.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-01 | [Dryness threatens Australia's canola output, wheat seen recuperating](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29198-dryness-threatens-australia-s-canola-output-wheat-seen-recuperating.md) | +6.6% | -1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2020-12-03 | [Australia to Harvest Second Biggest Wheat Crop on Record \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49623-australia-to-harvest-second-biggest-wheat-crop-on-record-feed-and-grain.md) | +9.8% | +9.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-22 | [INTERVIEW: Black Sea disruptions poised to benefit Australian wheat: Voznesenski \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9697-interview-black-sea-disruptions-poised-to-benefit-australian-wheat-voznesenski.md) | -3.2% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-22 | [Dryness Threatens Australia's Canola Output, Wheat Seen Recovering \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30188-dryness-threatens-australia-s-canola-output-wheat-seen-recovering-esm-magazine.md) | -7.4% | -10.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-29 | [India's wettest monsoon in 25 years could lift 2020 wheat output to record](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56037-india-s-wettest-monsoon-in-25-years-could-lift-2020-wheat-output-to-record.md) | -0.1% | -1.3% |

## Sources

- spglobal.com: https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/agriculture/121824-commodities-2025-australia-to-see-jump-in-wheat-output-but-quality-concerns-remain

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.