# COCERAL forecasts an almost average EU grain harvest in

> COCERAL's initial preview puts the 2025 EU grain harvest at around 275 million tonnes, roughly in line with the multi-year average. The estimate assumes a 2.5% rise in acreage and 3.4% higher yields, with no unusual weather events. France is expected to rebound 14.4% from a very poor 2024.

- Date: 2024-12-22 · published 2024-12-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26894-coceral-forecasts-an-almost-average-eu-grain-harvest-in
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A near-average EU crop suggests ample European grain supply in 2025, which weighs on wheat and feed grain prices and competes with imports. The estimate is preliminary and rests on assumed normal weather.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-12 | [COCERAL estimates average EU grain harvest market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55528-coceral-estimates-average-eu-grain-harvest-market.md) | +2.5% | +4.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-16 | [Strategie Grains raises EU grain harvest forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24615-strategie-grains-raises-eu-grain-harvest-forecast.md) | -4.8% | -4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-19 | [Strategy Grains raises forecasts for EU wheat harvests](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57026-strategy-grains-raises-forecasts-for-eu-wheat-harvests.md) | +2.2% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-28 | [Coceral Association raises forecast for soft wheat in EU and UK after rains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41356-coceral-association-raises-forecast-for-soft-wheat-in-eu-and-uk-after-rains.md) | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-11 | [Argentina grain exchange raises soybean crop forecast as harvest progresses](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13793-argentina-grain-exchange-raises-soybean-crop-forecast-as-harvest-progresses.md) | +4.1% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2025-07-11 | [Brazil raises forecast for record grain harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13484-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-grain-harvest.md) | -0.7% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2021-10-01 | [Coceral lowers EU grain production forecast \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44482-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-production-forecast-miller-magazine.md) | +0.7% | +3.7% |
| CORN | 2018-03-09 | [COCERAL forecasts slight increase in E.U. grain output \| World-grain.com \| March 09, 2018 16:05 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65939-coceral-forecasts-slight-increase-in-e-u-grain-output-world-grain-com-march-09.md) | +1.9% | +4.1% |

## Sources

- zmp.de: https://www.zmp.de/en/futures/grains/news/market-report-coceral-forecasts-almost-average-eu-grain-harvest-2025-2024-12-22

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.