# China Could Provide Urea Price Support in Q1’25 | CZ app

> Urea prices remained weak on low demand as of early December, with Brazilian bids below $330/tonne CFR and Iranian producers holding over 350,000 tonnes of inventory. Analysts said Q1 2025 could see a rebound if the US returns to the market, and China's potential export restrictions added uncertainty to DAP and MAP.

- Date: 2024-12-02 · published 2024-12-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26890-china-could-provide-urea-price-support-in-q1-25-cz-app
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Weak near-term demand keeps nitrogen costs soft, but expected US buying and possible Chinese export curbs could lift prices in early 2025.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2023-08-06 | [International Urea Prices See Flashes Of Bearishness \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34500-international-urea-prices-see-flashes-of-bearishness-cz-app.md) | -4.4% | -10.6% |
| UREA | 2025-07-07 | [India Tender Drives Urea Price as Iran, Egypt Resume Production \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23692-india-tender-drives-urea-price-as-iran-egypt-resume-production-cz-app.md) | +3.6% | +13.0% |
| UREA | 2020-06-24 | [Urea: Indian tender offers set to test Chinese export interest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52915-urea-indian-tender-offers-set-to-test-chinese-export-interest.md) | +2.5% | +6.6% |
| UREA | 2024-06-25 | [Export Situation of Major Fertilizers in China in May.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30106-export-situation-of-major-fertilizers-in-china-in-may.md) | -2.6% | -1.0% |
| UREA | 2024-01-12 | [Urea looks poised for increases, while Potash prices are falling.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11089-urea-looks-poised-for-increases-while-potash-prices-are-falling.md) | +0.2% | +12.8% |
| DAP | 2024-06-28 | [Upcoming India Urea Tender Provides Price Support \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29671-upcoming-india-urea-tender-provides-price-support-cz-app.md) | +1.2% | +0.5% |
| DAP | 2024-12-09 | [India Urea Tender Rumours Drive Price Surge \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26889-india-urea-tender-rumours-drive-price-surge-cz-app.md) | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| DAP | 2025-01-06 | [India’s Urea Tender Falls Short, Potash Prices Rise \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11882-india-s-urea-tender-falls-short-potash-prices-rise-cz-app.md) | +1.5% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- czapp.com: https://www.czapp.com/analyst-insights/china-could-provide-urea-price-support-in-q125/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.