# Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer

> The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 59% chance of a weak La Nina in November-January, rising above 70% in December-February. It gives 61% odds of a return to neutral by March-May.

- Date: 2024-12-12 · published 2024-12-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A weak, short La Nina implies limited weather risk to South American crops, so it offers little price support for soybeans, corn or wheat.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-03-06 | [La Niña event is expected to be short-lived](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25499-la-nina-event-is-expected-to-be-short-lived.md) | -1.0% | +3.2% |
| SOY | 2026-02-17 | [Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20522-climate-prediction-center-la-nina-likely-to-fade-el-nino-may-develop-by-summer.md) | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| SOY | 2026-01-22 | [Will El Niño be slow to develop? \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20953-will-el-nino-be-slow-to-develop-world-grain.md) | +1.0% | +7.2% |
| SOY | 2025-12-03 | [WMO Update predicts weak La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21414-wmo-update-predicts-weak-la-nina.md) | -3.3% | -8.4% |
| SOY | 2026-02-01 | [El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season.md) | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| CORN | 2025-03-06 | [La Niña event is expected to be short-lived](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25499-la-nina-event-is-expected-to-be-short-lived.md) | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2026-02-17 | [Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20522-climate-prediction-center-la-nina-likely-to-fade-el-nino-may-develop-by-summer.md) | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| CORN | 2017-08-14 | [What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69375-what-does-lack-of-el-nino-la-nina-mean-for-winter-the-weather-channel.md) | -2.0% | -4.4% |

## Sources

- profarmer.com: https://www.profarmer.com/news/agriculture-news/weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-develop-during-winter

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.