# Tight global supply keeping fertilizer prices elevated | Profitability | farmweeknow.com

> StoneX's Josh Linville says nitrogen and phosphate values start 2025 firm on tight supply and demand, raising concern about spring prices. He flagged the threat of 25% US tariffs on Canadian goods, noting Canada is the largest potash producer and exporter.

- Date: 2025-01-13 · published 2025-01-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26832-tight-global-supply-keeping-fertilizer-prices-elevated-profitability
- Commodities: [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Tight nitrogen and phosphate supplies and possible tariffs on Canadian potash could lift fertilizer costs for farmers and feed producers into spring. Tariffs would likely raise US input prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2021-08-15 | [Fertilizer demand remains strong \| Profitability \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45869-fertilizer-demand-remains-strong-profitability-farmweeknow-com.md) | -0.4% | +19.8% |
| UREA | 2022-01-25 | [Trade duties disrupt fertilizer flow; ag groups respond \| Profitability \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43457-trade-duties-disrupt-fertilizer-flow-ag-groups-respond-profitability.md) | +1.6% | -9.7% |
| UREA | 2023-01-17 | [What could eat into farm profitability in '23? \| Profitability \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37771-what-could-eat-into-farm-profitability-in-23-profitability-farmweeknow-com.md) | -0.5% | -22.3% |
| UREA | 2025-08-28 | [Sticky input prices and short supplies: What's keeping fertilizer costs high? - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23627-sticky-input-prices-and-short-supplies-what-s-keeping-fertilizer-costs-high.md) | -7.5% | -8.9% |
| UREA | 2026-02-13 | [India Urea Tender Tightens Global Fertilizer Supplies Again - RFD-TV](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20534-india-urea-tender-tightens-global-fertilizer-supplies-again-rfd-tv.md) | +0.1% | +31.0% |
| DAP | 2025-08-28 | [Sticky input prices and short supplies: What's keeping fertilizer costs high? - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23627-sticky-input-prices-and-short-supplies-what-s-keeping-fertilizer-costs-high.md) | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| DAP | 2026-02-13 | [India Urea Tender Tightens Global Fertilizer Supplies Again - RFD-TV](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20534-india-urea-tender-tightens-global-fertilizer-supplies-again-rfd-tv.md) | -0.3% | +2.8% |
| DAP | 2025-11-06 | [Fertilizer Market Faces Tight Supplies, Confusing Fundamentals - RFD-TV](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22264-fertilizer-market-faces-tight-supplies-confusing-fundamentals-rfd-tv.md) | +1.1% | -11.4% |

## Sources

- farmweeknow.com: https://www.farmweeknow.com/profitability/tight-global-supply-keeping-fertilizer-prices-elevated/article_817732de-cd37-11ef-b5e8-5ff17aa404ed.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.