# Syria's phosphate rock supply uncertain after regime ousted - BC Insight

> Syrian rebel forces led by HTS ousted the Assad government on 8 December, raising uncertainty over Syria's phosphate rock output and exports. Syria had recovered to over 1.9 Mt of rock exports in 2023, its highest in 12 years, under Russian-linked management. Russia's possible pullback could disrupt supply further.

- Date: 2025-01-22 · published 2025-01-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Syria · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26825-syria-s-phosphate-rock-supply-uncertain-after-regime-ousted-bc-insight
- Commodities: [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Syria has become a key rock supplier amid globally tight export availability, so any disruption would add upward pressure on already high phosphate prices, raising costs for feed-mix mineral inputs.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-03-10 | [Nitrogen and Phosphate Markets Enter Supply Shock](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20101-nitrogen-and-phosphate-markets-enter-supply-shock.md) | -0.9% | +10.2% |
| DAP | 2024-05-06 | [Morocco's surging role in the global phosphate market - The Morocco Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30592-morocco-s-surging-role-in-the-global-phosphate-market-the-morocco-post.md) | +3.6% | +7.7% |
| DAP | 2022-06-30 | [‘Blood money’: Europe’s secretive trade in Syrian phosphates \| Syria \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41244-blood-money-europe-s-secretive-trade-in-syrian-phosphates-syria-the-guardian.md) | -0.0% | -0.1% |
| DAP | 2022-10-04 | [AUSTRALIA/MOROCCO/WESTERN SAHARA • OCP resumes Western Sahara phosphate exports to Australia - 04/10/2022 - Africa Intelligence](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39466-australia-morocco-western-sahara-ocp-resumes-western-sahara-phosphate-exports.md) | -1.7% | -5.5% |
| DAP | 2026-08-18 | [Sulfur shortage threatens global phosphate supply as Hormuz blockade and Russia ban cut 2 of 3 top sources - Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18198-sulfur-shortage-threatens-global-phosphate-supply-as-hormuz-blockade-and-russia.md) | 0.0% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- bcinsight.crugroup.com: https://www.bcinsight.crugroup.com/2025/01/22/syrias-phosphate-rock-supply-uncertain-after-regime-ousted/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.