# As Weather Outlooks Erase Cold, Natural Gas Futures Tank on Weaker Demand Expectations

> February natural gas futures fell on Monday as weather models trended warmer, reducing expected heating demand. Production stayed above 104 Bcf/d, and the front-month settled at $3.697/MMBtu.

- Date: 2025-01-27 · published 2025-01-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26693-as-weather-outlooks-erase-cold-natural-gas-futures-tank-on-weaker-demand
- Commodities: [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md)

## Why it matters

Warmer forecasts cut demand expectations and push gas prices lower, easing energy costs for feed production and grain drying.

## Read by commodity

- NATGAS: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2025-01-27 | 5 | -40.6% | -4.9 | Warmer weather models on Jan 27 cut expected heating demand while production stayed above 104 Bcf/d, driving the front month down to $3.697. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2026-01-02 | [US natural gas futures start year lower on mild weather outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7832-us-natural-gas-futures-start-year-lower-on-mild-weather-outlook.md) | -17.9% | +45.6% |
| NATGAS | 2018-02-01 | [Mild Weather Dims Natural Gas ETF Outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7447-mild-weather-dims-natural-gas-etf-outlook.md) | -14.0% | -15.1% |
| NATGAS | 2026-01-05 | [U.S. Natural Gas Extends Losses on Milder Weather Outlook - WSJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7828-u-s-natural-gas-extends-losses-on-milder-weather-outlook-wsj.md) | -20.7% | -0.8% |
| NATGAS | 2024-10-16 | [Waning Weather Support Sends Natural Gas Futures Tumbling; Cash Prices Slip with Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10304-waning-weather-support-sends-natural-gas-futures-tumbling-cash-prices-slip-with.md) | -17.1% | -2.9% |
| NATGAS | 2026-10-28 | [Natural Gas News: Warm Weather Caps Rally as November Futures Expire \| FXEmpire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/264-natural-gas-news-warm-weather-caps-rally-as-november-futures-expire-fxempire.md) | +0.7% | — |

## Sources

- naturalgasintel.com: https://naturalgasintel.com/news/as-weather-outlooks-erase-cold-natural-gas-futures-tank-on-weaker-demand-expectations/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.