# Ag Days: More Canola to Europe, but Trump Tariffs Loom Large

> Oil World analyst David Mielke said EU rapeseed production and stocks are down, so EU imports of rapeseed and canola may reach a record near 7.3 million tonnes, with about 1.4 million from Canada. He spoke at Manitoba Ag Days, where he also flagged the risk that US tariffs would hit canola oil and meal prices.

- Date: 2025-01-21 · published 2025-01-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26600-ag-days-more-canola-to-europe-but-trump-tariffs-loom-large
- Commodities: [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Stronger European demand for Canadian canola seed could support canola prices and offset some loss of US demand. The tariff threat remains the main risk to canola oil and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: neutral
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2017-07-06 | [U.S. tariffs on biodiesel set to rise](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69799-u-s-tariffs-on-biodiesel-set-to-rise.md) | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| SBO | 2025-04-22 | [Navigating uncertain weather: Canada's canola industry amid tariffs from China & the U.S. \| Insights \| MLT Aikins](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25074-navigating-uncertain-weather-canada-s-canola-industry-amid-tariffs-from-china.md) | +2.6% | +0.9% |
| SBO | 2023-03-23 | [High prices keep Canadian canola out of European Union \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36960-high-prices-keep-canadian-canola-out-of-european-union-the-western-producer.md) | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| SBO | 2025-12-15 | [Mixed outlook for canola and pulses  - SaskAgToday.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21450-mixed-outlook-for-canola-and-pulses-saskagtoday-com.md) | -3.3% | -1.2% |
| SBO | 2018-03-21 | [ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures linked to NAFTA - Manitoba Co-operator](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66091-ice-weekly-outlook-canola-futures-linked-to-nafta-manitoba-co-operator.md) | -0.5% | -1.0% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/news/manitoba-ag-days-more-canola-to-europe-but-tariffs-loom-large-analyst/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.