# Global wheat prices seen under pressure on record output - The HinduBusinessLine

> Analysts expect global wheat prices to face pressure in 2025 due to record production, though tightening supplies may give short-term support. BMI cut its 2025 CBOT wheat forecast to $5.80/bushel, while ING expects prices to trend higher to about $6. Trade tensions around the incoming Trump administration are a added risk for US wheat exports.

- Date: 2025-01-18 · published 2025-01-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26545-global-wheat-prices-seen-under-pressure-on-record-output-the-hindubusinessline
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Record output weighs on prices while expected tightening next season and trade risks could provide a floor, so buyers should expect range-bound wheat costs.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-11 | [Wheat prices to remain range-bound - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57542-wheat-prices-to-remain-range-bound-the-hindubusinessline.md) | -0.1% | -2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2017-01-31 | [Farm sector projected to grow at 4% in 2016-17 - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72969-farm-sector-projected-to-grow-at-4-in-2016-17-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +3.8% | +2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-30 | [World grain output expected to fall as record 2016 harvest weighs on prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72022-world-grain-output-expected-to-fall-as-record-2016-harvest-weighs-on-prices.md) | +0.4% | +1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-18 | [Wheat prices rose sharply after the release of the October USDA report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44584-wheat-prices-rose-sharply-after-the-release-of-the-october-usda-report.md) | +1.1% | +9.1% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-29 | [Record Corn Crop Weighs on Prices Thru Harvest - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22895-record-corn-crop-weighs-on-prices-thru-harvest-adm-investor-services.md) | -0.6% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/global-wheat-prices-seen-under-pressure-on-record-output/article69108936.ece

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.