# A return to form: How India’s renewal of rice exports will shape the market | Global Trade Review (GTR)

> Global Trade Review interviews Peter Clubb of the International Grains Council about the rice market after India lifted its 2023 export ban late last year. Clubb expects 2024/25 production growth of about 2.1%, roughly double the prior five-year average, with better weather in key growing regions. Rice prices that spiked in 2023 are expected to fall.

- Date: 2025-01-17 · published 2025-01-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26465-a-return-to-form-how-india-s-renewal-of-rice-exports-will-shape-the-market
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Renewed Indian export supply and better output growth point to lower global rice prices, which weighs on rough rice values for buyers.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2025-11-18 | [Philippines returns to Vietnam rice market ahead of January import window \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10501-philippines-returns-to-vietnam-rice-market-ahead-of-january-import-window-s-and.md) | -0.2% | -9.1% |
| RICE | 2025-04-03 | [Indian rice turns competitive in the global market, exports may pick up from June  - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25057-indian-rice-turns-competitive-in-the-global-market-exports-may-pick-up-from.md) | +2.5% | -3.2% |
| RICE | 2023-09-21 | [Asia rice: India’s export curbs stall trade; prices in other hubs decline - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34185-asia-rice-india-s-export-curbs-stall-trade-prices-in-other-hubs-decline-markets.md) | +1.3% | -0.6% |
| RICE | 2025-12-12 | [COMMODITIES 2026: India's surplus rice supply to weigh on global prices, reshape trade in Q1 \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21591-commodities-2026-india-s-surplus-rice-supply-to-weigh-on-global-prices-reshape.md) | -2.5% | +1.7% |
| RICE | 2021-05-16 | [Explained: How rice and wheat exports hit a record high \| Explained News - The Indian Express](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47049-explained-how-rice-and-wheat-exports-hit-a-record-high-explained-news-the.md) | -1.1% | -6.2% |

## Sources

- gtreview.com: https://www.gtreview.com/magazine/the-commodities-issue-2025/a-return-to-form-how-indias-renewal-of-rice-exports-will-shape-the-market/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.