# Solid grain output forecast for Australia | World Grain

> The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts Australia's 2024-25 wheat crop at 32 million tonnes, 21% above the 10-year average despite dry conditions in southern growing regions. Wheat exports are projected to rise 26% to 24 million tonnes, though China's share of Australian purchases has fallen.

- Date: 2025-01-24 · published 2025-01-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26457-solid-grain-output-forecast-for-australia-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A large Australian crop and export surge add supply to the global wheat market, which is bearish for wheat prices and competes with feed grain demand in Asia.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-04 | [Australia’s 2019-20 wheat output forecast higher \| 2019-03-04  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60036-australia-s-2019-20-wheat-output-forecast-higher-2019-03-04-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-02 | [Australia’s winter crops forecast surges \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22824-australia-s-winter-crops-forecast-surges-world-grain.md) | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-28 | [Australian wheat output revised higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18304-australian-wheat-output-revised-higher-world-grain.md) | -1.0% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-04 | [Bumper winter crop on tap for Australia \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25543-bumper-winter-crop-on-tap-for-australia-world-grain.md) | +0.1% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2020-12-09 | [Grain output forecast to rise in EU in 2021 \| 2020-12-09  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49591-grain-output-forecast-to-rise-in-eu-in-2021-2020-12-09-world-grain.md) | -1.1% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/20959-solid-grain-output-forecast-for-australia

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.