# Supplies tighten for phosphate, urea | The Western Producer

> Phosphate inventories in North America are well below average, with supply reduced by lower Chinese MAP and DAP exports, US tariffs on Moroccan phosphate, and Florida hurricanes that halted production for a month. A Nutrien representative said tight phosphate conditions are unlikely to ease in 2025.

- Date: 2025-01-15 · published 2025-01-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region North America · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26439-supplies-tighten-for-phosphate-urea-the-western-producer
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

Tight supply against weak crop prices makes phosphate expensive relative to grain, which squeezes farm margins and supports DAP and phosphate rock prices. The outlook implies continued elevated phosphate costs through the spring season.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2021-11-10 | [China cuts phosphate exports to build batteries \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44374-china-cuts-phosphate-exports-to-build-batteries-the-western-producer.md) | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| DAP | 2025-05-20 | [Will Tight Phosphate Supply Block a Summer Price Reset?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24593-will-tight-phosphate-supply-block-a-summer-price-reset.md) | +1.4% | +6.6% |
| DAP | 2024-01-15 | [Urea, Phosphate Prices Rise on Tight Availability \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32051-urea-phosphate-prices-rise-on-tight-availability-cz-app.md) | +0.8% | -1.3% |
| DAP | 2025-04-16 | [Will Sky-High Phosphate Prices Spell Disaster for Farmers?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25436-will-sky-high-phosphate-prices-spell-disaster-for-farmers.md) | 0.0% | +2.3% |
| DAP | 2025-03-24 | [Urea Continues to Fall as Phosphate Prices Surge \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25505-urea-continues-to-fall-as-phosphate-prices-surge-cz-app.md) | +0.5% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/markets/supplies-tighten-for-phosphate-urea/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.