# CRU’s top fertilizer calls for 2025 - BC Insight

> CRU's fertilizer team set out its 2025 predictions, including no new EU restrictions on Russian fertilizer imports and continued heavy Chinese ammonium sulphate exports of over 17 million tonnes. It also expects the incoming US administration to impose trade tariffs affecting fertilizer supply and demand.

- Date: 2025-01-24 · published 2025-01-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26437-cru-s-top-fertilizer-calls-for-2025-bc-insight
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Expected Chinese export flows and US tariffs could shift fertilizer supply in both directions, leaving nitrogen and phosphate prices exposed to trade policy. These are forecasts rather than confirmed actions, so the near-term price effect is limited.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2020-06-15 | [CRU Fertilizers Top 10 calls for 2020 Mid-year review - CRU Group](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52543-cru-fertilizers-top-10-calls-for-2020-mid-year-review-cru-group.md) | +0.8% | +8.1% |
| UREA | 2022-09-27 | [Fertilizer Prices, Rates, and Costs for 2023 - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11906-fertilizer-prices-rates-and-costs-for-2023-farmdoc-daily.md) | -5.7% | -9.1% |
| UREA | 2020-03-04 | [DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54405-dtn-retail-fertilizer-trends.md) | +2.1% | +0.4% |
| UREA | 2025-08-06 | [DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10719-dtn-retail-fertilizer-trends.md) | -3.7% | -11.4% |
| UREA | 2023-11-06 | [Fertilizer market review: What will 2024 bring? \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33094-fertilizer-market-review-what-will-2024-bring-ag-proud.md) | -2.8% | -6.4% |

## Sources

- bcinsight.crugroup.com: https://www.bcinsight.crugroup.com/2025/01/24/crus-top-fertilizer-calls-for-2025/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.