# Import surge seen curbing US economic growth in fourth quarter

> The Fed left its benchmark rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range after cutting 100 basis points since September. It also dropped a reference to inflation having made progress toward its 2% goal. A separate forecast points to an import surge curbing US economic growth in the fourth quarter.

- Date: 2025-01-30 · published 2025-01-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26414-import-surge-seen-curbing-us-economic-growth-in-fourth-quarter
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Slower US growth would reduce demand for energy and industrial commodities, while a firmer rate outlook supports the dollar. Neither effect is a direct driver of feed grain or meal prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2018-11-21 | [Forecasters See U.S. GDP Growth Easing in 2019 after 2018 Surge \| St. Louis Fed](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61964-forecasters-see-u-s-gdp-growth-easing-in-2019-after-2018-surge-st-louis-fed.md) | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| DXY | 2019-02-28 | [U.S. economic growth in 2018 misses Trump's 3 percent target](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60772-u-s-economic-growth-in-2018-misses-trump-s-3-percent-target.md) | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| DXY | 2020-07-30 | [COVID-19 crushes U.S. economy in second quarter; rising virus cases loom over recovery](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52300-covid-19-crushes-u-s-economy-in-second-quarter-rising-virus-cases-loom-over.md) | -0.3% | -0.5% |
| DXY | 2023-10-26 | [Dollar edges up as US economic growth accelerates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33870-dollar-edges-up-as-us-economic-growth-accelerates.md) | +0.0% | -2.9% |
| DXY | 2024-10-30 | [Mexican Peso weakens despite reporting solid economic growth](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28087-mexican-peso-weakens-despite-reporting-solid-economic-growth.md) | -0.2% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/import-surge-seen-curbing-us-economic-growth-fourth-quarter-2025-01-30/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.