# EIA’s natural gas price forecast climbs 21% - E&E News by POLITICO

> The US EIA raised its 2025 Henry Hub natural gas price forecast to $3.80/mmBtu, up about 21%, and lifted its 2026 forecast to $4.20. The agency cited heavy January storage withdrawals and cold weather.

- Date: 2025-02-12 · published 2025-02-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26216-eia-s-natural-gas-price-forecast-climbs-21-e-and-e-news-by-politico
- Commodities: [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

A higher official natural gas outlook signals firmer energy input costs for nitrogen fertilizer and processing, supporting urea and ammonia prices.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- NATGAS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2021-05-11 | [EIA’s Natural Gas Price Forecast Ticks Up to $3.05 on Exports, U.S. Demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47267-eia-s-natural-gas-price-forecast-ticks-up-to-3-05-on-exports-u-s-demand.md) | +4.0% | +6.4% |
| NATGAS | 2025-04-17 | [USA EIA Boosts Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Forecasts \| Rigzone](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25301-usa-eia-boosts-henry-hub-natural-gas-price-forecasts-rigzone.md) | -10.7% | +1.0% |
| NATGAS | 2024-06-01 | [EIA Maintains 2024 Natural Gas Price Forecast, Sees Modest Production Decline Leading to 2025 Record](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30462-eia-maintains-2024-natural-gas-price-forecast-sees-modest-production-decline.md) | +24.9% | +9.1% |
| NATGAS | 2025-02-11 | [Press Release (02/11/25):  EIA revises forecast for 2025 U.S. natural gas prices, leaves other forecasts largely unchanged](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8689-press-release-02-11-25-eia-revises-forecast-for-2025-u-s-natural-gas-prices.md) | +46.3% | +30.3% |
| NATGAS | 2020-09-09 | [U.S. Natural Gas Prices to Average $3.40 in January as Domestic, Overseas Demand Climbs, Says EIA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51302-u-s-natural-gas-prices-to-average-3-40-in-january-as-domestic-overseas-demand.md) | -4.2% | -8.8% |
| UREA | 2025-05-14 | [Global fertilizer prices climb 11% in early 2025: World Bank  ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25007-global-fertilizer-prices-climb-11-in-early-2025-world-bank.md) | -2.9% | -25.4% |
| UREA | 2021-12-12 | [Global Fertilizer Price Update: November’21 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43943-global-fertilizer-price-update-november-21.md) | 0.0% | -12.1% |
| UREA | 2022-01-09 | [Global Fertilizer Price Update: December’21 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43442-global-fertilizer-price-update-december-21.md) | -8.8% | -17.6% |

## Sources

- eenews.net: https://www.eenews.net/articles/eias-natural-gas-price-forecast-climbs-21/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.