# More ‘shrinkflation’? How Trump tariffs could reverberate through the food industry | Grocery Dive

> An article from Grocery Dive says food manufacturers may respond to the Trump tariffs by raising prices or cutting portion sizes and changing ingredients. Trump ordered 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum from all countries, and a 25% duty on Canadian and Mexican imports is set for March 1. Canada is a major supplier of oats to US food makers.

- Date: 2025-02-13 · published 2025-02-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26105-more-shrinkflation-how-trump-tariffs-could-reverberate-through-the-food
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Oats are a key ingredient for US food processors, so tariffs on Canadian supply could raise input costs and shift demand toward other ingredients, with a modest effect on oat and cereal demand.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2025-06-09 | [Tariffs, heat, high stakes: how to navigate the grain market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24268-tariffs-heat-high-stakes-how-to-navigate-the-grain-market.md) | +0.9% | +3.3% |
| OATS | 2018-02-21 | [Oat Growers Eyeing Chinese Market - DiscoverAirdrie.com - Local News, Weather, Sports, and Job Listings for Airdrie, Alberta, and the Rocky View County region.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66533-oat-growers-eyeing-chinese-market-discoverairdrie-com-local-news-weather-sports.md) | -2.3% | -11.5% |
| OATS | 2018-11-17 | [Global trade flows dominate local cash markets — This week in the grain markets - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11723-global-trade-flows-dominate-local-cash-markets-this-week-in-the-grain-markets.md) | -6.9% | -3.8% |
| OATS | 2025-06-16 | [High quality Australian oats thrive amid global competition. \| Farm Weekly \| WA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24266-high-quality-australian-oats-thrive-amid-global-competition-farm-weekly-wa.md) | -5.1% | -5.3% |
| OATS | 2025-02-04 | [American tariffs will hit oats from Yorkton processor  - SaskAgToday.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26100-american-tariffs-will-hit-oats-from-yorkton-processor-saskagtoday-com.md) | -3.3% | +6.2% |

## Sources

- grocerydive.com: https://www.grocerydive.com/news/trump-tariffs-food-prices-shrinkflation-packaging/740070/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.