# USDA Forecasts Tighter-Than-Expected Soybean Ending Stocks

> DTN reports that USDA's Outlook Forum projects US soybean ending stocks of 320 million bushels for 2025-26, below the pre-report average estimate of 380 million. USDA projected planted area of 84 million acres and a yield of 52.5 bushels per acre, which DTN notes is optimistic given recent yield trends.

- Date: 2025-02-27 · published 2025-02-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26098-usda-forecasts-tighter-than-expected-soybean-ending-stocks
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Tighter-than-expected ending stocks support soybean prices, though the reliance on a high yield assumption creates downside risk if yields disappoint.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-05-21 | [USDA forecasts tighter soybean supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19295-usda-forecasts-tighter-soybean-supplies.md) | -0.4% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2024-09-30 | [USDA Report Snapshot: Corn, soybean stocks lighter than expected - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28254-usda-report-snapshot-corn-soybean-stocks-lighter-than-expected-pro-farmer.md) | -2.6% | -7.3% |
| SOY | 2023-03-08 | [USDA Trims Soybean Ending Stocks, Bumps Up Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36817-usda-trims-soybean-ending-stocks-bumps-up-corn.md) | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| SOY | 2025-05-12 | [USDA Reduces Old Crop Corn Ending Stocks, Pegs New Crop Lower Than Expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24606-usda-reduces-old-crop-corn-ending-stocks-pegs-new-crop-lower-than-expected.md) | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| SOY | 2025-02-11 | [USDA Cuts World Corn, Soybean, Wheat Ending Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25989-usda-cuts-world-corn-soybean-wheat-ending-stocks.md) | -1.0% | -4.9% |
| SBM | 2023-03-08 | [USDA Trims Soybean Ending Stocks, Bumps Up Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36817-usda-trims-soybean-ending-stocks-bumps-up-corn.md) | -1.9% | -8.4% |
| SBM | 2020-11-10 | [USDA Lowers Corn, Soybean and Wheat Ending Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50091-usda-lowers-corn-soybean-and-wheat-ending-stocks.md) | +1.4% | -0.6% |
| SBM | 2025-04-11 | [WASDE Report Cuts Corn Ending Stocks More Than Expected - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25066-wasde-report-cuts-corn-ending-stocks-more-than-expected-proag.md) | -0.1% | -3.3% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2025/02/27/usda-forecasts-tighter-expected

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.