# US soybeans production to fall in next marketing year: USDA

> USDA projects US soybean production will fall in marketing year 2025-26, with planted area cut 3.1 million acres to 84 million. The decline reflects a shift toward corn, based on soybean-to-corn price ratios below 2.3, and rising competition from Brazil, which supplied 60% of China's soybean imports. Corn plantings are forecast up 3.4 million acres to 94 million.

- Date: 2025-02-28 · published 2025-02-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/26096-us-soybeans-production-to-fall-in-next-marketing-year-usda
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller US soybean crop supports prices, but Brazil's growing export share caps the upside and limits US export demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-02-27 | [USDA's initial look at 2025-26 marketing year - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26084-usda-s-initial-look-at-2025-26-marketing-year-pro-farmer.md) | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2022-05-12 | [Corn, Soybean Production Numbers as Expected in May USDA Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41348-corn-soybean-production-numbers-as-expected-in-may-usda-report.md) | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| SOY | 2019-01-16 | [USDA closure is impacting U.S. markets, especially for soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61055-usda-closure-is-impacting-u-s-markets-especially-for-soybeans.md) | +2.4% | +2.6% |
| SOY | 2022-10-12 | [USDA maintains forecast for soybean oil use in biofuel production \| Biodiesel Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15365-usda-maintains-forecast-for-soybean-oil-use-in-biofuel-production-biodiesel.md) | -0.3% | +4.9% |
| SOY | 2023-02-16 | [USDA Agricultural Projections to 2032- Focus on Corn, Soybeans - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15335-usda-agricultural-projections-to-2032-focus-on-corn-soybeans-farm-policy-news.md) | +0.6% | -2.2% |
| SBM | 2026-10-28 | [Processing Journal \| USDA Raises 2026-27 U.S. Soybean Production…](https://feedsoft.ai/events/80-processing-journal-usda-raises-2026-27-u-s-soybean-production.md) | -3.8% | — |
| SBM | 2025-04-30 | [US soybean oil consumption for RD production hits all-time low](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25203-us-soybean-oil-consumption-for-rd-production-hits-all-time-low.md) | -1.5% | +1.2% |
| SBM | 2024-06-12 | [USDA Projects Slightly Lower Brazilian Soybean Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29690-usda-projects-slightly-lower-brazilian-soybean-production.md) | +0.8% | +2.6% |

## Sources

- spglobal.com: https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/agriculture/022825-us-soybeans-production-to-fall-in-next-marketing-year-usda

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.