# La Niña conditions present with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance) | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast

> A University of Georgia extension post reports that La Niña is currently present but weak, with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely by March–May 2025 (66% chance). It says neutral conditions should persist through most of summer and may support an active Atlantic hurricane season.

- Date: 2025-02-01 · published 2025-02-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25964-la-nina-conditions-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-likely-during
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral summer reduces the typical La Niña drought risk for US crops, which weighs on feed grain prices. The outlook is uncertain beyond summer, so the price effect is limited.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2016-12-09 | [La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73404-la-nina-still-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-favoured-during-jan-mar.md) | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2018-10-06 | [How to prepare for an El Niño winter \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62472-how-to-prepare-for-an-el-nino-winter-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| CORN | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| CORN | 2026-02-17 | [Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20522-climate-prediction-center-la-nina-likely-to-fade-el-nino-may-develop-by-summer.md) | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| CORN | 2019-05-09 | [ENSO WILL TOE THE LINE BETWEEN EL NIÑO AND NEUTRAL CONDITIONS DURING JUNE-AUGUST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59009-enso-will-toe-the-line-between-el-nino-and-neutral-conditions-during-june-august.md) | +2.3% | +9.3% |
| SOY | 2016-12-09 | [La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73404-la-nina-still-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-favoured-during-jan-mar.md) | +0.2% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | +0.1% | -5.0% |
| SOY | 2026-02-17 | [Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20522-climate-prediction-center-la-nina-likely-to-fade-el-nino-may-develop-by-summer.md) | +0.1% | +2.0% |

## Sources

- site.extension.uga.edu: https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2025/02/la-nina-conditions-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-likely-during-march-may-2025-66-chance/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.