# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | February 2025 Quick Look

> IRI's February 2025 ENSO update says weak La Niña conditions persist in the equatorial Pacific, with Niño 3.4 slightly below -0.5 °C. Forecasts give equal odds of La Niña and neutral for Feb–Apr, and favour neutral from Mar–May through summer.

- Date: 2025-02-19 · published 2025-02-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25962-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-february-2025
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A move toward neutral through the summer lowers the chance of a classic La Niña-driven drought in the US and South America. That keeps weather-driven upside in grain prices limited for now.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-02-18 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2020 February Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54515-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2020-february.md) | -1.7% | -3.5% |
| CORN | 2019-02-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 February Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60529-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-february.md) | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| CORN | 2018-02-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 February Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66417-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-february.md) | -0.1% | +4.4% |
| CORN | 2017-01-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2017 January Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72925-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2017-january-quick.md) | +1.0% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2020-05-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2020 May Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53046-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2020-may-quick-look.md) | -0.5% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2020-02-18 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2020 February Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54515-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2020-february.md) | -2.2% | -8.1% |
| SOY | 2019-02-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 February Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60529-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-february.md) | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| SOY | 2018-02-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 February Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66417-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-february.md) | +1.2% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2025-february-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.