# Tidbits, Fertilizers, Chinese Ships, Grain Inventory Estimates 3/30/25

> India issued its first urea tender of 2025 for 1.5 million tonnes, with shipment spread into June. The announcement alone lowered urea prices by $7 to $12 per tonne. Ammonium sulfate and nitrate prices were little changed, and world MAP prices had risen $25 to $30 per tonne since early March.

- Date: 2025-03-30 · published 2025-03-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25926-tidbits-fertilizers-chinese-ships-grain-inventory-estimates-3-30-25
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

The tender's long two-plus month delivery window is pressuring urea prices lower, while rising phosphate prices raise the cost of DAP and MAP. Buyers of phosphate-based inputs should expect higher costs even as nitrogen eases.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-04-02 | 1 | +4.3% | 3.7 | India's first 2025 urea tender of 1.5 Mt marks the demand return that sets up price recovery, though the announcement initially lowered prices and the timing is a few days ahead of the move. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-06-23 | [Fertilizer prices fall on slow demand, Chinese exports and Iran - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19114-fertilizer-prices-fall-on-slow-demand-chinese-exports-and-iran-nikkei-asia.md) | -2.1% | -1.4% |
| UREA | 2025-08-26 | [Amid thaw in ties, China to soon revive fertilizer supply to India \| Mint](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23274-amid-thaw-in-ties-china-to-soon-revive-fertilizer-supply-to-india-mint.md) | -5.8% | -8.8% |
| UREA | 2025-10-13 | [China's Fertilizer Import & Export Updates and Market Trends - September](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22740-china-s-fertilizer-import-and-export-updates-and-market-trends-september.md) | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| UREA | 2023-10-23 | [China's fertilizer exports soar 31.6% in Jan-Sept period - Chinadaily.com.cn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33544-china-s-fertilizer-exports-soar-31-6-in-jan-sept-period-chinadaily-com-cn.md) | -5.2% | -9.8% |
| UREA | 2025-08-25 | [Global Fertilizer Market Updates - India, Bangladesh, Brazil, China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23635-global-fertilizer-market-updates-india-bangladesh-brazil-china.md) | -0.9% | -8.6% |
| DAP | 2025-06-22 | [China’s Fertilizer Export Landscape (Jan–May 2025) - China Informatics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24148-china-s-fertilizer-export-landscape-jan-may-2025-china-informatics.md) | +0.7% | +3.8% |
| DAP | 2025-02-18 | [India’s fertilizers imports double in January; sales too surge    - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26374-india-s-fertilizers-imports-double-in-january-sales-too-surge-the.md) | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| DAP | 2025-04-22 | [China’s Phosphate Fertilizer Export Overview (January – March 2025) - China Informatics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25033-china-s-phosphate-fertilizer-export-overview-january-march-2025-china.md) | 0.0% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- wrightonthemarket.com: https://www.wrightonthemarket.com/post/tidbits-fertilizers-chinese-ships-grain-inventory-estimates-3-30-25

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.