# China's pig production expected to grow marginally in 2025

> Chinese hog producers were more profitable in 2024 on higher hog prices and lower costs, but expansion has been slower than USDA expected because many companies operated at a loss and postponed investments. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs cut its breeding sow target from 41 million to 39 million, and USDA raised its 2024 hog production estimate.

- Date: 2025-03-18 · published 2025-03-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25575-china-s-pig-production-expected-to-grow-marginally-in-2025
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Slower herd expansion and a lower sow target limit near-term growth in Chinese pork output and feed demand. This is mildly supportive for hog prices and feed ingredient demand relative to a faster rebuild.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-05-23 | [Pork producers expected to respond to high international prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59213-pork-producers-expected-to-respond-to-high-international-prices.md) | -4.5% | -8.0% |
| HOGS | 2024-02-16 | [Tight Supplies Expected to Boost Cattle and Hog Prices in 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31615-tight-supplies-expected-to-boost-cattle-and-hog-prices-in-2024.md) | +3.9% | +4.0% |
| HOGS | 2023-09-12 | [USDA’s Beijing attaché released first projections for China’s 2024 – Pig Farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34094-usda-s-beijing-attache-released-first-projections-for-china-s-2024-pig-farming.md) | +0.8% | -2.1% |
| HOGS | 2024-05-13 | [2025 Red Meat, Poultry Production Seen Lower Than 2024 - Zia Commodities, LLC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30411-2025-red-meat-poultry-production-seen-lower-than-2024-zia-commodities-llc.md) | +3.4% | +0.5% |
| HOGS | 2024-03-06 | [China pork market update: Challenges of 2023 to roll into 2024 \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31186-china-pork-market-update-challenges-of-2023-to-roll-into-2024-ahdb.md) | +0.0% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2023-03-07 | [China pork production expected to rise slightly in 2023 - GAIN report
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36848-china-pork-production-expected-to-rise-slightly-in-2023-gain-report-the-pig-site.md) | -2.1% | -0.5% |
| CORN | 2023-07-10 | [China’s corn production to inch up in 2023-24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14830-china-s-corn-production-to-inch-up-in-2023-24.md) | +4.0% | -8.3% |
| CORN | 2017-02-24 | [USDA projections show U.S. corn use is expected to grow through 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72532-usda-projections-show-u-s-corn-use-is-expected-to-grow-through-2026.md) | +1.5% | -1.7% |

## Sources

- tridge.com: https://www.tridge.com/news/chinas-pig-production-expected-to-grow-margi-dgshoy

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.