# China Raises Grain Output Target as Trade Tensions Escalate

> China set its 2025 grain output target at about 700 million tons, above the prior goal of at least 650 million, as it presented its annual work report at the National People's Congress. The report also reiterated retaliatory duties of 10-15% on US crops including soybeans, corn and wheat, and suspended soybean imports from three US entities.

- Date: 2025-03-06 · published 2025-03-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25573-china-raises-grain-output-target-as-trade-tensions-escalate
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A higher domestic grain target points to less import dependence over time, which is bearish for long-run US and other exporter sales to China. The tariff retaliation is already disrupting near-term US soybean and corn trade flows.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-04-23 | [US-China tariffs continue to hold sway over trade \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14671-us-china-tariffs-continue-to-hold-sway-over-trade-world-grain.md) | -2.3% | -2.4% |
| CORN | 2021-04-21 | [Reshaping grain trade? China moves to change animal feed recipes \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47641-reshaping-grain-trade-china-moves-to-change-animal-feed-recipes-reuters.md) | +14.7% | +11.9% |
| CORN | 2025-07-04 | [China Grain and Feed Outlook 2025 \| Paradigm Futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14649-china-grain-and-feed-outlook-2025-paradigm-futures.md) | -6.0% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2020-01-07 | [China won't hike grain import quotas for U.S. trade deal: Caixin](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54941-china-won-t-hike-grain-import-quotas-for-u-s-trade-deal-caixin.md) | +0.9% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2026-09-01 | [US-China Tariffs Put Agriculture Back in the Trade Spotlight](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14557-us-china-tariffs-put-agriculture-back-in-the-trade-spotlight.md) | +0.2% | +4.5% |
| SOY | 2025-04-23 | [US-China tariffs continue to hold sway over trade \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14671-us-china-tariffs-continue-to-hold-sway-over-trade-world-grain.md) | +0.6% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2021-04-21 | [Reshaping grain trade? China moves to change animal feed recipes \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47641-reshaping-grain-trade-china-moves-to-change-animal-feed-recipes-reuters.md) | +5.3% | +6.9% |
| SOY | 2026-09-01 | [US-China Tariffs Put Agriculture Back in the Trade Spotlight](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14557-us-china-tariffs-put-agriculture-back-in-the-trade-spotlight.md) | +2.1% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/china-raises-grain-output-target-as-trade-tensions-escalate/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.