# Australia Boosts Wheat Output Estimate on Bumper Crops in States

> ABARES's first outlook puts Australia's 2025-26 wheat crop at 30.5 million tonnes, about 10% below the previous season but 15% above the 10-year average. Above-normal soil moisture in key states could encourage farmers to plant more than usual. Planting is set to begin around April.

- Date: 2025-04-01 · published 2025-04-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25545-australia-boosts-wheat-output-estimate-on-bumper-crops-in-states
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller expected Australian crop next season tightens export availability versus the current bumper year and supports wheat prices. Planting conditions will determine whether the cut is larger or smaller.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-06 | [Australia: FCStone estimates wheat production at only](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56011-australia-fcstone-estimates-wheat-production-at-only.md) | +3.2% | +7.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-09-06 | [Australia trims wheat crop estimate, curbing global supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34065-australia-trims-wheat-crop-estimate-curbing-global-supplies.md) | +2.1% | -4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-25 | [FAS USDA forecasts sharp decline of the wheat and barley crops in Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71463-fas-usda-forecasts-sharp-decline-of-the-wheat-and-barley-crops-in-australia.md) | +3.6% | +2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-06-20 | [Few bright spots in winter crop outlook \| Meat & Livestock Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58667-few-bright-spots-in-winter-crop-outlook-meat-and-livestock-australia.md) | +7.9% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-06-12 | [U.S. grains: Wheat surges after USDA cuts Russian output estimate - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64555-u-s-grains-wheat-surges-after-usda-cuts-russian-output-estimate-grainews.md) | -0.9% | -6.9% |

## Sources

- bloomberg.com: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-03/australia-boosts-wheat-output-estimate-on-bumper-crops-in-states

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.