# Bumper winter crop on tap for Australia | World Grain

> ABARES raised the 2024-25 winter crop estimate to 59.8 million tonnes, citing receival data that showed better-than-expected yields. Wheat production is put at 34.1 million tonnes, up 31% year on year, and barley at 13.3 million. Canola fell 2% to 5.9 million tonnes on lower planted area.

- Date: 2025-03-04 · published 2025-03-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25543-bumper-winter-crop-on-tap-for-australia-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Higher Australian wheat and barley output increases global export supply and can weigh on grain prices. Lower canola output provides limited support to oilseed meal values.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-02 | [Australia’s winter crops forecast surges \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22824-australia-s-winter-crops-forecast-surges-world-grain.md) | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-27 | [Australia to harvest bumper wheat crop \| 2021-01-27  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49105-australia-to-harvest-bumper-wheat-crop-2021-01-27-world-grain.md) | -10.0% | -0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-01 | [Australia’s winter crop production revised up \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17449-australia-s-winter-crop-production-revised-up-world-grain.md) | +1.0% | +2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-22 | [Australia on track for above-average winter crop: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50600-australia-on-track-for-above-average-winter-crop-rabobank-grain-central.md) | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-02 | [Australia’s winter crop production revised higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20123-australia-s-winter-crop-production-revised-higher-world-grain.md) | +1.6% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/21105-bumper-winter-crop-on-tap-for-australia

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.