# The Growing Impact of ENSO on U.S. Extreme Drought and Flood Events - NOAA/AOML

> A NOAA/AOML study published in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science projects more extreme winter droughts in the US Southwest and more extreme floods in the Southeast and Northeast. The study links these trends to a stronger ENSO influence and regional rainfall changes. Droughts caused about $368 billion in US losses from 1980 to 2024.

- Date: 2025-03-25 · published 2025-03-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25500-the-growing-impact-of-enso-on-u-s-extreme-drought-and-flood-events-noaa-aoml
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The study is a long-range research finding with no immediate supply change. It suggests greater future weather volatility for US crops, but it has little bearing on current futures prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-06-05 | [Droughts and flooding rains impact market \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8686-droughts-and-flooding-rains-impact-market-the-land-nsw.md) | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| CORN | 2019-03-13 | [The Economic Impacts of Drought on US Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59919-the-economic-impacts-of-drought-on-us-agriculture.md) | +4.3% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-12-30 | [Impact of Rain and Drought on December Grain Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13822-impact-of-rain-and-drought-on-december-grain-prices.md) | +0.0% | -2.1% |
| CORN | 2023-05-02 | [Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35871-anticipating-the-impact-of-el-nino-on-food-security.md) | +2.7% | -5.8% |
| CORN | 2025-05-30 | [3 Top Corn-Growing States Report Extreme Drought, or Worse](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13090-3-top-corn-growing-states-report-extreme-drought-or-worse.md) | -0.3% | -4.7% |
| SOY | 2019-03-13 | [The Economic Impacts of Drought on US Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59919-the-economic-impacts-of-drought-on-us-agriculture.md) | +2.2% | +1.6% |
| SOY | 2025-12-30 | [Impact of Rain and Drought on December Grain Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13822-impact-of-rain-and-drought-on-december-grain-prices.md) | -0.7% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2024-01-26 | [Drought, Disease, Pests Impacted the 2023 Soybean Growing Season - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13213-drought-disease-pests-impacted-the-2023-soybean-growing-season-proag.md) | -1.6% | -7.4% |

## Sources

- aoml.noaa.gov: https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/the-growing-impact-of-enso-on-u-s-extreme-drought-and-flood-events/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.