# U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer

> A US forecaster says La Niña is over and conditions are now neutral, but dryness is likely in the central and southern US Plains for at least the next month. Dryness is also expected in central Brazil in May and June, and in eastern Europe, Ukraine and western Russia through June.

- Date: 2025-03-13 · published 2025-03-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25497-u-s-forecaster-sees-neutral-weather-conditions-persisting-through-summer
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Dry weather in the US Plains threatens hard red winter wheat development, and Black Sea and Brazilian dryness could tighten wheat and safrinha corn supplies. Those risks support prices, though the forecast is not yet confirmed damage.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2018-05-31 | [Weather conditions drive up prices for wheat — Latifundist.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65073-weather-conditions-drive-up-prices-for-wheat-latifundist-com.md) | -0.2% | -14.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-03-05 | [USA: drought conditions persist in many top corn growing states](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47956-usa-drought-conditions-persist-in-many-top-corn-growing-states.md) | -2.8% | -7.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-12-01 | [Drier winter weather pattern expands drought conditions - AgriLife Today](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43520-drier-winter-weather-pattern-expands-drought-conditions-agrilife-today.md) | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-05-14 | [2026 Corn Belt summer weather forecast \| The More You Grow \| Corteva Agriscience](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12997-2026-corn-belt-summer-weather-forecast-the-more-you-grow-corteva-agriscience.md) | -2.1% | -11.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-02-08 | [U.S. Crop Conditions Fall as Drought Conditions Worsen - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66541-u-s-crop-conditions-fall-as-drought-conditions-worsen-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | -2.3% | +8.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-03-14 | [US forecaster sees higher chance of La Nina conditions this summer \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31137-us-forecaster-sees-higher-chance-of-la-nina-conditions-this-summer-reuters.md) | +0.4% | +3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-21 | [Dry weather conditions in early summer worsen crop prospects in the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35430-dry-weather-conditions-in-early-summer-worsen-crop-prospects-in-the-eu.md) | +9.4% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-31 | [Weather conditions drive up prices for wheat — Latifundist.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65073-weather-conditions-drive-up-prices-for-wheat-latifundist-com.md) | +0.2% | -2.0% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/us-forecaster-sees-neutral-weather-conditions-persisting-through-summer-2025-03-13/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.