# March 2025 ENSO update: neutral conditions expected soon

> NOAA reports that La Niña persisted through February 2025 and that forecasters expect ENSO-neutral conditions to develop within a month and last through the Northern Hemisphere summer. The February Niño-3.4 anomaly was -0.6 °C, just above La Niña thresholds.

- Date: 2025-04-01 · published 2025-04-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25496-march-2025-enso-update-neutral-conditions-expected-soon
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A shift to neutral removes the main La Niña drought risk for the Americas and Australia, which tends to ease supply concerns for corn, soybeans and wheat. The change is expected but gradual, so the price effect is modest.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-06-01 | [May 2025 ENSO update: eye of neutral](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24585-may-2025-enso-update-eye-of-neutral.md) | +0.5% | -2.2% |
| CORN | 2018-04-02 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update – March 2018 \| La Niña Ready Nations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65446-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-march-2018-la-nina-ready-nations.md) | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2025-05-08 | [US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24587-us-cpc-sees-74-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august-reuters.md) | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2019-12-12 | [December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55496-december-2019-enso-update-neutral-rinse-repeat-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +5.5% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2025-06-12 | [US CPC sees 82% chance of ENSO neutral conditions through June-August — TradingView News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24118-us-cpc-sees-82-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august.md) | +0.0% | -4.5% |
| SOY | 2025-06-01 | [May 2025 ENSO update: eye of neutral](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24585-may-2025-enso-update-eye-of-neutral.md) | +1.5% | -1.7% |
| SOY | 2018-04-02 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update – March 2018 \| La Niña Ready Nations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65446-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-march-2018-la-nina-ready-nations.md) | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2025-05-08 | [US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24587-us-cpc-sees-74-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august-reuters.md) | +3.5% | +2.1% |

## Sources

- climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/march-2025-enso-update-neutral-conditions-expected-soon

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.