# April '25 Aussie Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphate

> StoneX's Josh Linville says the global phosphate market's main issue is China, with possible further export restrictions on urea and phosphate. He notes Chinese government strategy has already lowered domestic prices and raised inventories. Saudi Arabian production is also referenced as a supply factor.

- Date: 2025-04-04 · published 2025-04-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25438-april-25-aussie-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphate
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Expected Chinese export curbs would tighten global phosphate supply and lift prices, raising fertilizer costs for crop producers and indirectly feed grain production costs.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2023-12-29 | [January '24 Aussie Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33051-january-24-aussie-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphate.md) | +0.4% | +2.6% |
| DAP | 2021-10-01 | [Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4700-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| DAP | 2022-04-01 | [Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5509-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | -1.6% | -9.3% |
| DAP | 2024-01-29 | [February '24 Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11965-february-24-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | -1.7% | -1.3% |
| DAP | 2024-02-01 | [January '24 Farmer Fertilizer Focus - Phosphates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11962-january-24-farmer-fertilizer-focus-phosphates.md) | 0.0% | +0.4% |
| UREA | 2021-12-08 | [Farmers ask US Justice Department to investigate fertilizer price spikes \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43923-farmers-ask-us-justice-department-to-investigate-fertilizer-price-spikes-reuters.md) | +0.1% | -18.9% |
| UREA | 2025-05-01 | [Fertilizer Squeeze Pinches Farmers as India Caps Prices, Supplies Shrink](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25002-fertilizer-squeeze-pinches-farmers-as-india-caps-prices-supplies-shrink.md) | +15.9% | +6.3% |
| UREA | 2026-01-05 | [Shake-up in EU fertilizer pricing to hit farmer costs \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20991-shake-up-in-eu-fertilizer-pricing-to-hit-farmer-costs-latest-market-news.md) | +1.7% | +14.0% |

## Sources

- stonex.com: https://www.stonex.com/en-gb/insights/april-25-aussie-farmer-fertilizer-focus---phosphate/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.