# USDA Hikes 2025 Milk Production Forecast, Lowers Dairy Product Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter

> USDA raised its 2025 US milk production forecast by 0.7 billion pounds to 226.9 billion on larger cow inventories. It also cut its cheese, butter, nonfat dry milk and whey price forecasts, and lowered the Class III and Class IV milk price forecasts.

- Date: 2025-04-11 · published 2025-04-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25122-usda-hikes-2025-milk-production-forecast-lowers-dairy-product-price-forecasts
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Higher expected milk supply and lower product price forecasts point to weaker milk prices and lower feed-ingredient demand from dairy processors.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2025-11-14 | [USDA Hikes 2025, 2026 Milk Production Forecasts, Lowers Most Dairy Product Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21954-usda-hikes-2025-2026-milk-production-forecasts-lowers-most-dairy-product-price.md) | +0.1% | -7.6% |
| MILK | 2026-01-16 | [USDA Hikes 2026 Milk Production Forecast; Dairy Product Price Forecasts Mixed - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21068-usda-hikes-2026-milk-production-forecast-dairy-product-price-forecasts-mixed.md) | -0.3% | +2.2% |
| MILK | 2025-06-12 | [USDA Hikes 2025, 2026 Milk Production Forecasts, Most Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24217-usda-hikes-2025-2026-milk-production-forecasts-most-price-forecasts-cheese.md) | -0.7% | -7.6% |
| MILK | 2026-10-09 | [USDA Lowers 2026, 2027 Milk Production Forecasts; Price Forecasts Mixed - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17113-usda-lowers-2026-2027-milk-production-forecasts-price-forecasts-mixed-cheese.md) | +1.5% | +14.9% |
| MILK | 2026-07-10 | [USDA Raises 2026, 2027 Milk Production Forecasts, Lowers Most Price Forecasts - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18336-usda-raises-2026-2027-milk-production-forecasts-lowers-most-price-forecasts.md) | +0.4% | +6.4% |

## Sources

- cheesereporter.com: https://cheesereporter.com/news/market-trends-statistics/2025/04/11/usda-hikes-2025-milk-production-forecast-lowers-dairy-product-price-forecasts/
- hpj.com: https://hpj.com/2025/04/26/lower-cow-inventories-estimated-in-dairy/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.