# Smaller Australian wheat crop in 2025/26 | Farmtario

> A USDA attaché in Canberra projects Australian wheat production at 31 million tonnes for 2025/26, down 3.11 million tonnes, on lower harvested area and yields. Exports are forecast at 23 million tonnes, down 3 million, while feed use and ending stocks were each raised by 100,000 tonnes. Barley output is seen at 12.5 million tonnes and sorghum at 2.5 million tonnes.

- Date: 2025-04-29 · published 2025-04-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25091-smaller-australian-wheat-crop-in-2025-26-farmtario
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md)

## Why it matters

Smaller exportable supply from Australia supports world wheat and barley prices, and the higher feed use signals firmer domestic demand. Sorghum output rising would partly offset that for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-09-05 | [Australian crop estimates adjusted slightly lower \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34064-australian-crop-estimates-adjusted-slightly-lower-farmtario.md) | +2.1% | -4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-12-13 | [Coceral sees smaller EU wheat crop in 2022 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43539-coceral-sees-smaller-eu-wheat-crop-in-2022-world-grain.md) | -6.0% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-03 | [Australia to cut wheat production by 10% in 2025/26 — ABARES](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24169-australia-to-cut-wheat-production-by-10-in-2025-26-abares.md) | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-15 | [USDA sees 26pc drop in Australia's new-crop wheat - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35906-usda-sees-26pc-drop-in-australia-s-new-crop-wheat-grain-central.md) | -1.6% | -7.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-02-24 | [USDA Forum: USDA sees smaller corn, soybean and wheat crops in 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72340-usda-forum-usda-sees-smaller-corn-soybean-and-wheat-crops-in-2017.md) | -0.2% | -2.3% |

## Sources

- farmtario.com: https://farmtario.com/daily/smaller-australian-wheat-crop-in-2025-26/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.