# Australia’s grain crops forecast upbeat | World Grain

> A USDA Foreign Agricultural Service report projects Australian wheat output at 31 million tonnes for 2025/26, down from 34.1 million, and barley at 12.5 million tonnes, down from 13.3 million. Both remain well above their 10-year averages, while dry conditions persist in South Australia and western Victoria. Wheat exports are forecast at 23 million tonnes, down 3 million.

- Date: 2025-04-29 · published 2025-04-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25088-australia-s-grain-crops-forecast-upbeat-world-grain
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower projected exports from a top wheat exporter tighten global supply, supporting wheat and barley prices. Output still being well above average limits the upside, so the move is likely moderate.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-29 | [Australia’s wheat production forecast to drop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19682-australia-s-wheat-production-forecast-to-drop-world-grain.md) | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-23 | [Focus on Australia \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32084-focus-on-australia-world-grain.md) | -0.1% | -5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2019-06-18 | [Australia lowers wheat export forecast \| 2019-06-18  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58550-australia-lowers-wheat-export-forecast-2019-06-18-world-grain.md) | +7.1% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2017-12-04 | [Australian grain crops forecast lower in 2017-18 \| World-grain.com \| December 04, 2017 14:05 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67430-australian-grain-crops-forecast-lower-in-2017-18-world-grain-com-december-04.md) | +2.7% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-05 | [Australian winter crops poised for strong year \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24168-australian-winter-crops-poised-for-strong-year-world-grain.md) | -1.4% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/australias-grain-crops-forecast-upbeat/
- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/21331-australias-grain-crops-forecast-upbeat

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.