# Navigating uncertain weather: Canada's canola industry amid tariffs from China & the U.S. | Insights | MLT Aikins

> MLT Aikins lawyers review the impact of China's tariffs on Canadian canola oil and meal and the threat of US tariffs on Canadian canola products. They note that in 2024 Canada exported $920.9 million of canola meal and $21 million of canola oil to China. A US executive order on April 2 exempted CUSMA-qualifying goods.

- Date: 2025-04-22 · published 2025-04-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25074-navigating-uncertain-weather-canada-s-canola-industry-amid-tariffs-from-china
- Commodities: [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Exemptions for CUSMA-compliant goods limit the US tariff threat, but ongoing uncertainty may delay planting and trade decisions. Canadian canola meal and oil export flows face pressure, which can weigh on canola complex prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: neutral
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2018-07-18 | [Soymeal Market Remains Calm in China Despite Tariffs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64010-soymeal-market-remains-calm-in-china-despite-tariffs.md) | +1.8% | +1.3% |
| SBO | 2022-06-15 | [China Brief 084 \| China lifts three-year ban on Canadian canola, Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy, CWF’s Belt and Road Monitor Canada West FoundationCanada West Foundation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40908-china-brief-084-china-lifts-three-year-ban-on-canadian-canola-canada-s-indo.md) | -7.0% | -20.0% |
| SBO | 2023-09-22 | [Chinese canola purchases surpass USDA expectations \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34057-chinese-canola-purchases-surpass-usda-expectations-the-western-producer.md) | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| SBO | 2023-09-28 | [Chinese canola purchases surpass USDA expectations \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34059-chinese-canola-purchases-surpass-usda-expectations-the-western-producer.md) | +0.4% | -7.1% |
| SBO | 2017-12-01 | [China Boosts U.S. Corn Imports and Good Time for Farm Bill Negotiations - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67343-china-boosts-u-s-corn-imports-and-good-time-for-farm-bill-negotiations-ag.md) | -1.5% | -2.0% |

## Sources

- mltaikins.com: https://www.mltaikins.com/insights/navigating-uncertain-weather-canadas-canola-industry-amid-tariffs-from-china-the-u-s/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.