# The end of La Niña: Lessons about Plains wheat drought & why spring weather is bearish for most grain markets - The Globe and Mail

> Meteorologist Jim Roemer argues that the end of La Niña is bearish for most grain markets because spring weather is favorable, while recalling the lessons of past Plains wheat drought. The analysis draws on NOAA ENSO forecasts and USDA data.

- Date: 2025-04-29 · published 2025-04-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25030-the-end-of-la-nina-lessons-about-plains-wheat-drought-and-why-spring-weather-is
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Favorable spring weather reduces the risk premium in grains, pressuring corn, soybeans and wheat, though Plains wheat drought risk remains a lingering concern.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-15 | [Weather issues driving grain markets in Northern Hemisphere \| Stock & Land \| VIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48677-weather-issues-driving-grain-markets-in-northern-hemisphere-stock-and-land-vic.md) | +9.4% | +9.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-22 | [Grains respond to continued hot, dry weather in Brazil - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11282-grains-respond-to-continued-hot-dry-weather-in-brazil-agweek-1-source-for.md) | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-14 | [Weather models point to possible La Nina in spring - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53051-weather-models-point-to-possible-la-nina-in-spring-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-23 | [Corn, Soybeans and Wheat Prices Plummet Thursday, Weather is Only Part of the Reason Why - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12698-corn-soybeans-and-wheat-prices-plummet-thursday-weather-is-only-part-of-the.md) | +1.7% | -4.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-28 | [Global wheat market: Wheat prices fall as weather improves in the northern hemisphere](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25164-global-wheat-market-wheat-prices-fall-as-weather-improves-in-the-northern.md) | -0.9% | -4.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-02-15 | [Weather issues driving grain markets in Northern Hemisphere \| Stock & Land \| VIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48677-weather-issues-driving-grain-markets-in-northern-hemisphere-stock-and-land-vic.md) | +4.5% | -1.6% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-04-28 | [Global wheat market: Wheat prices fall as weather improves in the northern hemisphere](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25164-global-wheat-market-wheat-prices-fall-as-weather-improves-in-the-northern.md) | -1.8% | +0.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-03-12 | [Wheat flat; set for second weekly drop as US weather improves - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5121-wheat-flat-set-for-second-weekly-drop-as-us-weather-improves-markets-business.md) | -1.5% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- theglobeandmail.com: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/commodities/ZCH25/pressreleases/32119964/the-end-of-la-nina-lessons-about-plains-wheat-drought-why-spring-weather-is-bearish-for-most-grain-markets/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.