# Chinese phosphate exports plummet, dashing hope for price relief | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.

> China's phosphate fertilizer exports fell to 111,000 metric tons in the first three months of 2025, far below the prior three-year average of 785,000 tons. Analysts attribute the drop to export restrictions and rising domestic demand for phosphate rock, and warn prices will stay high.

- Date: 2025-04-30 · published 2025-04-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/25017-chinese-phosphate-exports-plummet-dashing-hope-for-price-relief-agri-pulse
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

Tight Chinese phosphate supply keeps DAP and MAP prices elevated for buyers, and analysts expect the constraint to persist for a couple of years, pointing to firm input costs for feed and crop producers.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2025-05-02 | [Chinese phosphate exports down - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25009-chinese-phosphate-exports-down-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +0.4% | +4.8% |
| DAP | 2022-03-23 | [The Moroccan game plan to recapture the US fertilizer market \| 2022-03-22 \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42596-the-moroccan-game-plan-to-recapture-the-us-fertilizer-market-2022-03-22-agri.md) | -1.5% | -3.6% |
| DAP | 2020-08-21 | [Phosphate ‘dumping’ investigations raise price hike fears \| Capital Press](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51544-phosphate-dumping-investigations-raise-price-hike-fears-capital-press.md) | +2.6% | +7.5% |
| DAP | 2021-10-22 | [Diammonium Phosphate Prices Surge by 50% on High Freight Rates and China’s Curbing Exports - News and Statistics - IndexBox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44883-diammonium-phosphate-prices-surge-by-50-on-high-freight-rates-and-china-s.md) | -0.5% | +4.3% |
| DAP | 2020-10-05 | [Chatham Rock Phosphate Comments on Increasing Phosphate Prices - Ocean Mining News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50932-chatham-rock-phosphate-comments-on-increasing-phosphate-prices-ocean-mining-news.md) | +0.6% | -2.0% |

## Sources

- agri-pulse.com: https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/22817-chinese-phosphate-exports-plummet-dashing-hope-for-price-relief

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.